Home » Open thread 11/7/22

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Open thread 11/7/22 — 29 Comments

  1. People get tired of being cold. See a map. Paris is on the same latitude as the north shore of Lake Superior.
    Southern France, including Marseilles, finally gets warm enough in freaking AUGUST for les vacances. Despite being half a dozen time zones late in sunrise, Houston is 75 degrees now, Marseilles is 66.
    The Gulf Stream modifies the climate in Western Europe but to the extent it doesn’t get really, really cold, it gets damp and chilly.
    Up until central heat, people had and sometimes carried lap robes or had them handy on furniture. You sit down and wrap up.
    Pretty much any of the English Cozies and a good many other genres–lords and detectives–always have a scene where some characters are in front of a fire place–radiant heat is most comfortable–with crummy weather outside the large windows.
    So a cape is a portable blanket providing protection on top of other garments down to the knee or nearly so, and can be wrapped entirely around. But leaves open the reach to the weapon, or in later generations, indicated the wearer was one of the guys who might need to Take Care of Business or at least a formal indication of said social status.
    And it can be easily removed and hung in the hall.

  2. I saw a post about looking to NH senate race as an early indicator about the size of the red wave tomorrow. Makes sense. We do a little head nod.

    Note the importance of that observation. Yes, all local and state elections have factors unique to them. But we all realize and understand that there are national trends. And that fact is key to recognize why so many of us believe instinctively that 2020 was stolen.

    When certain cities buck national trends and produce multi-sigma, never before seen outliers, it violates everything that pollsters understand about the science of polling and we have experienced in our lifetimes. Stuff that has never happened before may be fraud. Especially when it happens many times and only in key locations.

    If NH’s senate election might have some value to tell us something about national trends this election, that same insight applies with far greater force to a presidential election.

    — does anyone else find it jarring every time some pundit makes reference to some aspect or subset of voter behavior for the 2020 election? As if the numbers have validity. It’s like reading an article that refers to the hockey stick as quality science or talks of the vaxx as if it has been proven valuable and effective.

  3. Biden quote: “there are more than 300 Republican candidates for state, local and federal office who are election deniers. These deniers are not only trying to deny your right to vote, they’re trying to deny your right to have your vote counted.”

    Unpack all the lies, slanders, and fallacies in those whoppers. This goes way beyond questioning 2020.

    This is impeachable. This is nasty, vile stuff. These are incredibly serious charges. He’s the president.

  4. Profiles in courage (2022):
    It takes a former NFLer to finally stand up in public on the eve of the mid-term elections and state calmy and clearly…and boldly: “The President is Nekkid”—articulating what every reasonable person must already realize…
    “Herschel Walker: Biden Is the Threat to Democracy”—
    https://www.newsmax.com/politics/herschel-walker-biden-democracy/2022/11/06/id/1095112/

    Actually, profiles in honesty.

    File under: And a running back shall lead them…

  5. There’s a flaw in the video. You can even see it in one brief picture. Militaries in Europe and here went to coats BEFORE the invention of the sewing machine. Think of Napoleonic, or Revolutionary*, or earlier 18th C, or even mid 17th Century uniforms.

    *Ours, that is.

  6. stan:

    I’m not in agreement about NH, unless what you mean is that if Bolduc manages to win it would indicate a very massive red tsunami. He is not a good candidate and NH has turned more and more blue in recent years. There could still be a sizable red wave even with a Bolduc loss. If he loses by 10 points or more, though, it would probably mean the wave isn’t happening.

  7. Agree, a Bolduc loss is expected so if it happens it means nothing nationally. On the other hand, a win by Bolduc will indicate the displeasure with Biden and the Democrats is quite solid and broad based and so could portend a much larger red wave nationally.

  8. once upon a time, they would elect a bob smith or a gordon thompson, who showed a disturbing streak of tds in his later years, but in his prime,

    now hassan is immoderate in ways that would gag meldrim thomson,

  9. operation dragoon, in the south of france, was in august of that year, the southern half of the pincer movement,

  10. Bob; miguel cervantes:

    Yes, I was already aware of that St. Anselm poll. It’s only one poll, though. Until that poll, Bolduc was consistently behind and sometimes way behind. He has closed the gap but most polls still have him behind (see this). You may recall that in 2016 and 2020, NH did not vote for Trump. In 2016 it was close but Clinton won. In 2020 it wasn’t at all close; Biden won handily.

    I’m not saying it’s impossible for Bolduc to win. I’m saying he’s a poor candidate in terms of today’s NH, a state which has changed a lot in recent years. It shouldn’t have been hard to defeat Hassan, but it will be because he’s simply not a compelling candidate (unlike some of the others such as Kari Lake).

    I am saying that if he does win it will signify a very strong GOP hand. If he doesn’t win, though, it doesn’t mean the GOP won’t do fairly well.

    Hassan is presenting herself as a moderate, which she is NOT. Many people don’t pay much attention and think she is a moderate, because she’s not a firebrand. But she votes with the Democrat pack and therefore is strongly on the left, whatever her mild rhetoric.

  11. Another in a long series of open-thread comments about something I read.

    Remember when Biden’s Department of Homeland Security tried to create an Orwellian Ministry of Truth? We thought that the Ministry collapsed under the weight of public outrage, but it just went into hiding, and now it’s back.

    Fittingly, on Halloween, Ken Klippenstein and Lee Fang published a report, in “The Intercept,” entitled “Truth Cops: Leaked Documents Outline DHS’s Plans to Police Disinformation” (https://tinyurl.com/5n6ranyk).

    Here’s a sample paragraph:

    “There is also a formalized process for government officials to directly flag content on Facebook or Instagram and request that it be throttled or suppressed through a special Facebook portal that requires a government or law enforcement email to use. At the time of writing, the ‘content request system’ at facebook.com/xtakedowns/login is still live. DHS and Meta, the parent company of Facebook, did not respond to a request for comment. The FBI declined to comment.”

    However compliant the social-media company, this is government-imposed censorship. It’s a violation of the first amendment and longstanding case law. For now, leftists love it, because their team is running the show, but even the woke should have the good sense to foresee the shoe switching feet.

  12. If the talk about Trump tonight is true it is beyond idiotic. What in the hell is gained by that?

    The rumors about next week were stupid enough but now he is going to stomp all over tomorrow?

    On top of the ridiculous ‘DeSanctimonious’ garbage is so tone deaf and not reading the room. Jeez.

  13. Griffin — Can you be more explicit? Not sure what you’re talking about. — Thanks.

  14. Rumor is Trump is going to announce for 2024 tonight in Ohio.

    Lots of people like Grenell tweeting lots of cryptic things about watching tonight.

  15. Griffin:

    I certainly hope not.

    If he’s going to do it, he should wait till after the midterms. The Democrats have used the specter of the return of Trump to drum up votes.

  16. I have no idea what Trump will do tonight. I had previously heard he’d announce next Monday, 14 Nov.

    But I’m pretty annoyed with him anyhow. Sniping at DeSantis before the midterms? Always talking about what didn’t happen in 2020, rather than what needs to happen in a new Republican presidency beginning January 2025? And I understand that, while he’s doing a lot of personal appearances, which he enjoys, he has not expended much of his huge campaign chest in advertising money for Republican candidates, even those he’s endorsed.

  17. I’ve found that >95% of the time, when Trump says something that can be made to sound outrageous, it is re-played in this (worst-possible) light at the ’11’ volume setting, endlessly, so that we all get the idea that Trump is an erratic loose cannon. And then, a month down the road or less, it becomes plain what was meant, and the reason behind it, and it is understood that a useful reaction was provoked, and often, secured. And since he’s been out of the limelight, people have lost their de-sensitization to this sort of thing again, and reacted predictably.

    I think this is the case with the ‘Ron DeSanctimonious’ crack, which is apparently directed at the GOPe’s funding and grooming efforts of DeSantis with 2024 in mind. I haven’t confirmed it but have read elsewhere that his war chest has become substantial, over $200 million. Apparently nether one of them are particularly perturbed about it.

    Neither am I. I’ve given up reacting to things like this for electoral Lent, which is over on Nuclear Tuesday, tomorrow. Don’t forget to convince at least one other person to vote.

  18. When I was a student in northern New England, I had my dad’s Air Force great coat, made from wool, from the 50s. It had a kind of integral cape, kind of like the capelet shown near the beginning of the video, but it was long and could also button up.

    Man~ That sucker was warm, and its cape features really shed the snow. And the cape-like design allowed the wearer to move very freely. Plus it had a very large collar, that would stand up just higher than the base of my watch cap. I would often walk through the University forest, about 3 miles, and it was perfect for that, even in the snow, warm as toast even in the sub-zeros.

  19. Cleopatra, continued…
    (For those who are for all intents and purposes mummies—worn out and exhausted by extreme election anxiety)….
    “Has Cleopatra’s tomb been FOUND? Tunnel carved in rock deemed a ‘geometric miracle’ is discovered 43 feet below an ancient temple that may lead to the long-lost burial site of Egypt’s last pharaoh and her lover Mark Antony”—
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-11400503/Tunnel-temple-lead-tomb-Egypts-pharaoh-Cleopatra.html

  20. Rumor is Trump is going to announce for 2024 tonight in Ohio.

    If he’s on the ballot in two years, I’ll vote for him. I think I’d be more at home with deSantis.

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