Home » Open thread 10/9/21

Comments

Open thread 10/9/21 — 46 Comments

  1. Not only is the narrator obnoxious, the imagery accompanying the video seldom illustrates what is being talked about. One has the feeling the entire production was the product of a sixth-grade class somewhere.

  2. All the water being pumped out cannot be replaced. When it is gone, then what?
    Agree on F’s comment.

  3. “the imagery accompanying the video seldom illustrates what is being talked about.”

    Yeah, like images of Monument Valley when describing the Sahara.

    Delta news: active minus recovered cases/day now in negative numbers; active cases/day flat at about 3000, down from 150000. Serious cases continue their steady decline. I can understand the left leaning MSM not reporting any of this, but Fox and Newsmax??? This can only destroy the vax mandate, masking, vax passports for planes etc. So why aren’t they reporting? Anyone seen anything about this data?

  4. Thousands of years ago the now Sahara desert had a tropical climate, was covered in grasslands and received plenty of rainfall.
    Then the climate changed and the Sahara became a desert.

    No one knows what caused the change in climate.
    No one can explain why the climate changed.
    And there are certainly no computerized “climate models” than can model (from first principles, as opposed to “tuning” a model to produce a desired result. Tuning is just a fancy way of saying “finagling” the input variable until you obtain the answer you desire) what occurred thousands of years ago.

    Thousands of years ago humans had no influence at all upon the climate. One less variable to worry about.

    But do not fret folks; even though climate “scientists” cannot even explain (much less model) the historical climate, they are very sure what the climate will be like 50 years hence.

    Sure .

  5. My, musing, thoughts about just about any of the subjects of threads over the past couple of years or more.

    Take Conquest’s 3rd law, “The behavior of any bureaucratic organization can best be understood by assuming that it is controlled by a secret cabal of its enemies.”

    Apply it to the Democrats.

    Then you’d get a best case conspiracy theory that they have been infiltrated over time by their enemies who are acting as agent provocateurs getting them to destroy themselves by acting out, publicly, all their worst instincts.

  6. physicsguy, even our local hysterical NBC affiliate (WRAL) is reporting that NC cases are down 47%.

  7. This guy sharing his information that is breathtaking, unknown before by most mortals and stuff reminds me of my brother-in-law who I have to spend a couple of days with every few years when my wife’s sister visits. I have to listen to what he thinks are facts always preceded by, “most people don’t know this but ..” and then he tells me stuff I have known for years and half of it is wrong but he never wants to hear that he is wrong. Kind of reminds me of the info in the video and the way facts spewed out.

  8. This can only destroy the vax mandate, masking, vax passports for planes etc. So why aren’t they reporting?

    Thanks for reporting that physicsguy. I take it that the case count has really collapsed. However, the serious illness count is down but not collapsed?

    My take on your question, which may be based on news propaganda, is that the vax mandate is working. That is, there is a new flood of people getting vaccinated. That is the objective.

    If we also have a new wave of people leaving the workforce and harming the economy, so be it. A feature and not a bug?? If children are being harmed by the vax, who cares? (Don’t say that publicly.) The important thing is that the Biden admin. is seen taking action, social morality is being enforced/coerced, and Pfizer is getting richer. Campaign donations to follow.

  9. Steven Hayward proposes a novel psycho-Nietzchean way to look at the Left’s authoritarian power lust, which he maintains has mushroomed ever since Watergate. His key insight is that the Left must criminalize political differences. Thus, these cannot be tolerated.
    .
    Here’s the key statement:
    “I have a new theory of the intolerance of the left: the academic left in particular are deeply insecure people—often professionally insecure, despite the fortifications of tenure, but also intellectually insecure, which is why leftists mostly refuse to debate anyone any more. In some cases it may be that the nihilism at the heart of the modern leftist outlook bursts through in personally demoralizing ways, as it ought to. It is also the case that when you reduce everything to a question of power, and your will-to-power doesn’t have much effect off campus (until recently), you increasingly become intolerant, vindictive, and censorious to any dissent. And the demonization and intimidation the left uses is a feature, not a bug. Naturally the left calls this ‘justice.’”
    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2021/10/the-terrors-of-justice-in-re-j-eastman.php

    The consequence, if in agrees or accepts this formulation, is that the Left must go increasingly solipsistic — or self-deferentially circular — in its rationales. Evidence matters less and less, but projections and imagination much and more.

    I think we can already see this in the AG Merrick thought crime prosecutions of parental dissent before local school boards.

  10. They All Lied. Throw Them All Out NOW
    https://www.market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243789

    The Government has been analyzing CMS data. Not a shock; they have every person over 65’s medical records, in real time, as everyone over 65, statistically speaking, is on Medicare and the government pays for it. They therefore have the records.

    * 71% of the Covid-19 cases occurred in these fully-vaccinated people and roughly 80% of the population >65 is vaccinated. In other words they know the vaccines do not stop you from getting Covid.

    The US Government has been analyzing this data through Project Salus.

    “Waning Effect of COVID-19 Vaccines in 5.6M U.S. Study Cohort”
    https://www.humetrix.com/powerpoint-vaccine.html

    I found it…

    http://web.archive.org/web/20210922220528/https://www.humetrix.com/powerpoint-vaccine.html

    Planned parent/hood. Neither an exclusive Choice nor a good choice. Once you go Pro-Choice, you can’t go back.

  11. “They All Lied.”
    Yep, and they have to cover their backsides, majorly, so the lying WILL continue.

    COVID:
    I’ll repost this:https://im1776.com/2021/10/08/corporate-medicine/
    + Bonus:
    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/watch-rand-paul-blasts-lying-fauci-he-ignores-natural-immunity-because-it-foils-his-mass
    https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/iceland-bans-moderna-vaccine-use-due-heart-inflammation-risk

    And regarding the festivities in China (another bastion of “Biden”-type honesty and integrity…and Unity and Transparency):
    Looks like Xi might want to get a headhunter to pry Psaki away from her “Biden” gig. (Just as long as they don’t promise to pay her with Evergrande stock options….)
    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/catastrophic-property-sales-mean-chinas-worst-case-scenario-now-play

  12. Thousands of years ago the now Sahara desert had a tropical climate, was covered in grasslands and received plenty of rainfall.

    It may have been a point (Dirac) event (e.g. days, weeks blocking function and accumulated heat), that can force a catastrophic, even progressive condition, but is not discernible in the physical record. Accuracy is inversely proportional to time and space offsets from observation.

    And there are certainly no computerized “climate models” than can model (from first principles, as opposed to “tuning” a model to produce a desired result.

    A hypothesis masquerading as a theory. A simple scalar to estimate the influence of a physical process in a universal frame of reference. A recurring injection of brown matter to force a consensus with observation.

    That said, the radiative properties of CO2 have been characterized in isolation, and its efficacy is assumed, asserted in the wild, thus justifying the creation of a “heated cloud” and net atmospheric heat transport to warm the ground. The question of CO2 leading or following rising temperature is undetermined. The question of anthropogenic (fraction of a fraction) or naturally sourced CO2 is undetermined. The temperature anomalies and, in fact, weather, perhaps climate variation, can be completely explained through natural processes and phenomena. The exceptions are not forced by CO2, but rather anthropogenic processes with visible, but mostly short-term effects.

  13. Science is, with cause, a philosophy and practice in a limited frame of reference. Chaos is the limiting factor were incomplete and, in fact, insufficient characterization, and unwieldy processes, constrain our perception, and limit accuracy as stochastic models in the near frame, and boundaries (envelopes) beyond.

  14. In the Egyptian Museum in Cairo there are pottery pieces and other evidences left by the people who moved into the Nile Valley ca. 5000-6000 BC, when North Africa turned to desert.

  15. Just got back from a break from politics…reffing a U12 soccer game. Outdoors with kids having fun..can’t beat it.

    Kate: NC cases are coming down, though for the states I track Florida and Georgia have totally collapsed. Colorado and NH are struggling.

    TommyJay: serious cases are interesting. During the previous March-May collapse of the alpha, serious cases steadily moved down at about 400/day. They been doing the same thing this time around. Definitely not as steep of a slope as cases, but now down to 0.14% and I expect it to be down to 0.10% in about a week’s time.

  16. Declines in hospitalizations and deaths would normally follow the case declines by 2-3 weeks for this disease. Those numbers are beginning to move down. People hospitalized with severe COVID cases tend to be there for quite a while.

  17. Pictures were interesting if fleeting, read a account of the WWII Africe campaign a few months ago, as I do start looking up places mentioned. Fortifications are still easily found on Google maps.

  18. Physicsguy,

    I would wait for another 6 weeks before making any firm predictions about COVID. Last year’s Fall/Winter wave got going right around the 2nd week of October in the northern half of the country, and the southern half followed after in the second week of November. It might be that the virus really is petering out, but I doubt it- the silliness won’t end until we stop testing for it. I think if we test at 2 million tests/day this Fall/Winter, we will see the same or higher number of “cases” than last Fall/Winter. Deaths may or may not follow last year’s curve- that is the unknown, but this Summer isn’t all that reassuring on this aspect of it.

  19. That armadillo is now acutely aware that he should have taken a left turn at Albuquerque.

  20. Video is hilarious, with all the stock “smart person” footage of a people wearing glasses and looking at books. I bet this eye of the desert thing is due to a meteor

  21. Art Deco @ 10:57am,

    DePaul is one of my almae matres. I got a very solid education there, but it was a STEM field. Their administration have done some really inexcusable things regarding speech and the free expression of opinion in the past decade, or so.

    It’s sad to see.

    I’m not sure how they square their behavior with the views of their namesake, Saint Vincent DePaul: ““Believe nothing, question everything, assume nothing.”

  22. TJ @ 1:16pm,

    They’re also killjoys. I enjoy debating, even when it’s with people whom I know have a more thorough grasp of a subject than I do. There’s a very good chance I’ll learn something, it exercises my debate muscles and makes me think. It’s fun!

    What academic wouldn’t want to exercise their thinking muscles and possibly even learn?

    What is more fun than learning, and why would anyone ever build a career around learning if they don’t enjoy it?

  23. TJ: “And the demonization and intimidation the left uses is a feature, not a bug. Naturally the left calls this ‘justice.’”

    It is actually revenge. Just as their idea of equity is racism on steroids. And their idea of inclusion is actually exclusion unless you fit their narrative.

    As for Covid. The numbers are slowly declining here in Snohomish County. Deaths are much lower than they were in the wave we had in November – December 0f 2020.

    I finally realized that the vaccine does not give you true immunity. It primarily protects you from having a serious case just like the flu shot. When you think of it in that light, you begin to understand about break through cases and why the deaths have declined even though cases are high. The vaccine will never lead to Covid going away. It’s going to be with us just like the flu. The idea of getting herd immunity from the vaccines seems to be a pipe dream. Hopefully, the medical bureaucracy will finally level with the nation and begin working seriously on therapeutics.

  24. Therapeutics? Horse paste! and chlorine bleach! (Thinking like a leftist.)

    J.J., I agree (thinking, not a leftist). 🙂

  25. @ Naught > “That armadillo is now acutely aware that he should have taken a left turn at Albuquerque.”

    Old joke in Texas: Why did the chicken cross the road? To show the armadillo how it’s done.

  26. @ Art Deco > “Shut down all the J-Schools”

    Hard to disagree with that one.
    I remembered the story behind Turley’s post, which links to Zorn’s substack (scroll down a bit to the “main feature”).
    I’m going to cross-post this on the Jacob Blake thread, for obvious reasons.

    https://ericzorn.substack.com/p/moving-on-not-quite-yet

    I planned to devote the “Z-mail” subsection of this week’s newsletter to messages from people defending the students at DePaul University who recently demanded in a campus newspaper editorial that I be disinvited from panel discussion at the journalism school on the future of local print media.

    The full background for that story is in last week’s Picayune Sentinel [his blog]. But the short version is that these students jumped late on the pile of would-be tacklers who were furious about a column I wrote in early April saying it was too early to conclude that the fatal police shooting of 13-year-old Little Village resident Adam Toledo was unjustified and to portray him as an innocent. For this I was widely branded as a racist and a cheerleader for police brutality and child murder.

    So I certainly expected at least a few responses analyzing that column and citing passages that illustrated why it was so objectionable that I should be muzzled on all topics.

    No luck. I received hundreds of letters on this topic, but not one supporting the position staked out by editors of the DePaulia student paper. Nor did anyone write to back the position of the campus chapter of the Society of Professional Journalists that the organization “would not have agreed to co-host (the panel)” had its leaders known I would be invited, because they did “not agree with or support the sentiments” in the controversial column.

    You might already be asking why I’m perseverating on this, why I feel the need to win an argument with a group of students roughly a third my age, why I don’t just let this go.

    The answer is that we can’t and shouldn’t shrug off toxic orthodoxy that would rather shout people down or silence them than engage in respectful dialogue.

    Sorry not to be moving on, as requested, but I’m not going to cede my reputation and good name to anyone who makes a public stink about what they think I wrote rather than what I actually wrote and who tries to deny me the opportunity to speak to a willing audience. Universities are not alone among the institutions that need to find a template for dealing with differences of opinion and dissent, and surrendering to loud voices and Twitter mobs should not be part of that template.

    I recommend you read “MIT Abandons Its Mission. And Me.” an essay posted this week by University of Chicago geophysicist Dorian Abbot, and to heed his conclusion:

    It’s time to say no to the mob….This is not a partisan issue. Anyone who is interested in the pursuit of truth and in promoting a healthy and functioning society has a stake in this debate. Speaking out now may seem risky. But the cost of remaining silent is far steeper.

  27. John Durham and the Mysterious DNC Email Hack

    If as is likely the DNC’s server wasn’t hacked by the Russians, who was behind the inside job and why?

    This is the fourth in a series of articles analyzing the 27-page federal grand jury indictment charging lawyer Michael Sussmann with making a false statement to the FBI. Previous articles discussed the indictment’s detailed factual averments regarding how, during the 2016 presidential election campaign, Sussmann and others conspired to concoct a false but “plausible” narrative purportedly demonstrating the existence of a secret channel of internet communications between the Trump Organization, owned by Donald Trump, and the Russian Alfa Bank.

    https://spectator.org/john-durham-and-the-mysterious-dnc-email-hack/

  28. @ Zaphod > “Absolutely brilliant thread on Taliban Tactics:”

    Indeed.
    Some of them are familiar to anyone who reads military history and “how to” books on war (kind of a flippant way to describe the genre), so it’s not surprising that the Taliban know and use them.
    That the Americans and western armies in general DON’T use, or even know, them, is embarrassing and dangerous.

  29. @ Wesson > “John Durham and the Mysterious DNC Email Hack”

    Thanks for the link to George Parry’s post. I missed that one and the three previous ones in his series, so went back and read them all.
    There is nothing that readers here don’t already know, but they are well-packaged and would make a good reference “file” for study or discussions, if you have any friends who aren’t up-to-date on the investigation.
    part 1
    https://spectator.org/john-durhams-opening-salvo/
    part 2
    https://spectator.org/john-durhams-vast-conspiracy/
    part 3
    https://spectator.org/john-durham-dissects-a-smear-campaign/
    part 4
    https://spectator.org/john-durham-and-the-mysterious-dnc-email-hack/

  30. Good as far as it goes, but why didn’t every single GOP representative and senator sign it instead of just 60?

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/madelineleesman/2021/10/09/over-60-gop-members-of-congress-demand-answers-from-doj-for-targeting-parents-n2597211

    “I’ll believe it’s a crisis when the people who tell me it’s a crisis start acting like it’s a crisis.” – Instapundit Glenn Reynolds

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/landonmion/2021/10/09/newsoms-daughter-is-not-vaccinated-despite-his-vaccine-mandate-for-students-n2597202

  31. “Biden’s Vaccination Mandate: Where Are the Regulations?”
    https://brownstone.org/articles/bidens-vaccination-mandate-where-are-the-regulations/

    Key grafs:
    “…The HR department says it is only following federal guidelines. So you look for them. You look again and again. Somehow nothing turns up. You can find plenty of statements by Biden and administration spokespeople. You can find hundreds of news stories about the impending regulation….
    ” What you cannot find is an executive order from the Biden administration. You can find no directive at all. How can something be challenged that doesn’t actually seem to exist?”

    “How can something be challenged that doesn’t actually seem to exist?” indeed!

    Note, however, that this, in one querulous query, is the whole game plan—the entire gestalt in a nutshell—of the “Biden” administration. Put another way,
    “How can SOMEONE be challenged WHO doesn’t actually exist?”

    In fact it’s the Stasi Democratic Party embracing its inner Kafka…while Obama (et al.) yuks it up somewhere to the south of Cape Cod.

  32. Barry Meislin @ 6:00am,

    By far the biggest help when I had COVID was alternating Advil and Tylenol every 4 hours to keep my fever at bay. Lower fevers helped ease other symptoms and kept me feeling stronger, so I could get up and walk around.

  33. Glad that you were able to shake your bout with it (mine was, fortunately, extremely mild); but as far as you know (I myself don’t recall) were aspirin/Tylenol/Advil/etc. touted—or widely touted—as effective ways to counter the virus?

    (If not, it seems incredible…)

  34. Yesterday neo got a juicy link from Roger Kimball in his perhaps ongoing series of articles on Garland’s gestapo-ish memorandum categorizing parents opposed to school boards as domestic terrorists.
    ________________________________

    Another thing I didn’t know when I first wrote about this story was that the pas-de-deux between the National School Boards Association and the attorney general was not fortuitous. On the contrary, as the always interesting “Neo” reports, it was more in the way of being a coordinated effort, what just a few years ago might have been denominated “collusion.

    https://amgreatness.com/2021/10/09/garland-just-tipped-over-the-dominos/
    ________________________________

    Fingers crossed that Kimball’s crystal ball is correct that this is a tipping point.

  35. AesopFan,
    Glad you liked that link. I thought it was a good, concise piece. And thanks for posting the other links; I wasn’t sure if I had read them all or not.

  36. Barry Meislin @ 11:19am,

    I wouldn’t say “counter the virus,” only that keeping the fever low helped me feel better, which helped me get vertical and walk around. Don’t know if that was a factor in keeping my lungs relatively clear, or not, but it didn’t hurt.

    I heard from several other people who had symptoms similar to mine (I think Sharon W. is one), and it may be I just had a variant that did not attack the lungs significantly. Or, there is something about the way my body responded that kept my lungs relatively clear.

    All I know for sure is, when my wife started giving me fever reducing medication every four hours my strength improved so I could eat a bit, and get up off the recamier, stand and walk around.

  37. @Rufus:

    “…and get up off the recamier, stand and walk around.”

    You sure it wasn’t your Directoire Déshabillé wot effected the cure?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

HTML tags allowed in your comment: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>