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Open thread 12/6/22 — 34 Comments

  1. Another off-topic open-thread comment about something I read. Nothing to do with hippos.

    There’s recently been a lot of internet talk about ChatGPT.

    What is ChatGPT?

    Here’s the first paragraph of the Wikipedia entry:

    “ChatGPT is a prototype artificial intelligence chatbot developed by OpenAI that focuses on usability and dialogue. The chatbot uses a large language model trained with reinforcement learning and is based on the GPT-3.5 architecture. It was launched in November 2022 and has garnered attention for its detailed responses and historical knowledge, although its accuracy has been criticized.”

    David Rozado writes a substack called “Visual Analytics,” and he’s applied some very simple tests to determine ChatGPT’s political bias. His preliminary findings are that ChatGPT is leftist, though thankfully not far leftist (https://tinyurl.com/eykkcmp2).

    Why does the political bias of an artificial intelligence chatbot matter? In his conclusion, Rozado addresses that question:

    “The implications for society of AI systems exhibiting political biases are profound. If anything is going to replace the current Google search engine stack are future iterations of AI language models such as ChatGPT with which people are going to be interacting on a daily basis for decision-making tasks. Language models that claim political neutrality and accuracy (like ChatGPT does) while displaying political biases should be a source of concern.”

    Rozado notes that his results are preliminary, and that the simple tests he’s applied have flaws. Even so, his post is worth a look.

  2. Today is December 6, the feast of St. Nicholas of Myra, the saint known to the Dutch settlers of New Amsterdam as Sinterklaas– whence the modern American Santa Claus. The Dutch still give Christmas gifts to children on December 6 rather than on Christmas Day.

    But in keeping with the theme of today’s musical selection as well as the season, here’s “I Want a Hippopotamus for Christmas”:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=57vrqCENNPc&ab_channel=SherryStahl

  3. https://jme.bmj.com/content/early/2022/12/05/jme-2022-108449

    TL; DR–it is unethical to mandate these injections on young people;
    to risk myocarditis, sudden death to fight what has become a mild flu.

    (I don’t see that they make a lick of sense for anybody, in light of it being a treatable outpatient disease. A fib, MIs, clots, strokes, death–no small things.
    Now that Musk has freed Twitter, we may again see the hundreds of docs who have successfully prophylaxed entire nursing homes across the country.)

  4. I have been playing with ChatGPT, and will be posting some excerpts of the ‘conversations’. Here’s a sample:

    My question: How would you explain radar to a 10-year-old?

    GPT’s response: Radar is a way of using radio waves to detect objects and determine their distance, speed, and other information. It works by sending out a radio signal and then listening for the signal to bounce back after it hits an object. By measuring the time it takes for the signal to return, radar can tell how far away the object is. It can also use the changes in the signal’s frequency to determine the object’s speed and direction. In this way, radar can be used to detect and track airplanes, ships, and other moving objects.

    Follow-on question: Who invented radar and when?

    Response:

    The concept of radar was first developed in the late 19th century, but it wasn’t until the 1930s that the first practical radar systems were built. The development of radar was driven by the need to detect aircraft at long distances, and the first radar systems were used by the military for this purpose. The first radar system was built in 1935 by a group of scientists led by Robert Watson-Watt. The system was used to detect German planes during World War II and proved to be a crucial tool in helping to defend Britain from air attacks.

  5. My question: Who invented the jet engine?

    GPT’s response: The invention of the jet engine is usually credited to Sir Frank Whittle, an English Royal Air Force officer and engineer who is credited with developing the concept of the jet engine in the early 1930s. Whittle patented his idea for a jet engine in 1930, and he and a team of engineers built and tested the first practical jet engine in 1941. However, the first successful jet-powered aircraft, the German Heinkel He 178, took flight several years earlier in 1939.

    ***This response is very interesting because I asked it the same question yesterday and got a different and less-accurate response…it said the inventor was Whittle, but didn’t mention the German invention at roughly the same time period. I wonder if the change is because I submitted feedback yesterday on the inaccuracy***

  6. OK, let’s try something historical and literary…

    My question: Write an essay about how WWI was portrayed in fiction and nonfiction.

    GPT’s response: World War I, also known as the Great War, was a global conflict that lasted from 1914 to 1918. The war was one of the deadliest in human history, resulting in the deaths of millions of soldiers and civilians. The impact of the war was felt not only by those who lived through it, but also by future generations, as the events of the war continued to be studied, discussed, and represented in various forms of media.

    In both fiction and nonfiction, the events of World War I have been portrayed in a variety of ways. In nonfiction works, the war has often been depicted as a tragic and devastating event, with accounts of the horrors of trench warfare, the devastating loss of life, and the impact of the war on soldiers and civilians alike. Many nonfiction works have sought to document the events of the war, to provide a historical record of what happened and to give voice to those who experienced the war firsthand.

    In contrast, fiction works have often taken a more imaginative approach to depicting the war. In novels, short stories, and plays, the war has been represented in a range of ways, from realistic accounts of the events of the war to more fantastical or abstract interpretations. Some fiction works have focused on the experiences of individual soldiers, telling their stories and exploring the emotional and psychological impact of the war on them. Others have taken a more panoramic view, depicting the war from the perspective of multiple characters or even entire nations.

    One of the most notable examples of fiction that portrays the events of World War I is the novel “All Quiet on the Western Front” by Erich Maria Remarque. The novel, which was first published in 1929, tells the story of a group of young German soldiers who are sent to fight on the Western Front during the war. The novel is a powerful and poignant depiction of the horrors of trench warfare, as the soldiers struggle to survive in the face of constant danger and death. The novel also explores the psychological impact of the war on the soldiers, as they struggle to cope with the trauma of their experiences and the dehumanizing effects of modern warfare.

    Another notable example of fiction that portrays the events of World War I is the play “Oh, What a Lovely War!” by Joan Littlewood and Charles Chilton. The play, which was first performed in 1963, uses a mix of music, satire, and black humor to depict the events of the war. The play is notable for its unconventional approach to depicting the war, as it uses a range of techniques, including vignettes, skits, and musical numbers, to tell its story. The play also explores the idea of the “war to end all wars,” depicting the futility and absurdity of the conflict and the way in which it devastated the lives of those who were caught up in it.

    In conclusion, the events of World War I have been portrayed in a variety of ways in both fiction and nonfiction works. Nonfiction works have often focused on documenting the events of the war, while fiction works have taken a more imaginative approach, depicting the war from a range of perspectives and using a variety of techniques. Despite the differences in their approaches, both types of works have sought to shed light on the events of the war and to explore the impact of the conflict on those who lived through it.

    Wanted to ask it What else did Remarque write about WWI, but something got screwed up so I restarted the thread and asked:

    My question: what else did Remarque write about WWI?

    Ernst Jünger wrote Storm of Steel, which is a memoir of his experiences in WWI.

    Ernst Jünger was a German soldier, writer, and philosopher. He is best known for his memoir Storm of Steel, which describes his experiences as a soldier during World War I. Storm of Steel was published in 1920 and quickly became a bestseller in Germany. It was later translated into many other languages and is considered one of the most important accounts of WWI from the German perspective.

    OK, this is pretty bad. My somewhat irritated next question:

    what else did Remarque write about WWI?

    GPT’s response:

    Oh, I apologize for the confusion. Erich Maria Remarque is best known for his novel All Quiet on the Western Front, which is a powerful and moving account of a group of German soldiers who are fighting in World War I. The novel was published in 1929 and became an international bestseller, with translations into many languages. All Quiet on the Western Front is considered one of the greatest war novels of all time, and it remains a powerful and enduring reminder of the devastating effects of war on individuals and society.

    My next question: Is that all, or anything else by Remarque on WWI?

    GPT’s response: All Quiet on the Western Front is the most famous and well-known of Remarque’s works, and it is often considered his masterpiece. However, he did write several other novels and stories that deal with the subject of World War I and its aftermath. Some examples include:

    The Road Back (1931): This novel follows a group of German soldiers as they return home from the war and struggle to adjust to civilian life.
    Three Comrades (1936): This novel is set in Germany during the interwar period and follows the lives of three friends who fought in the war. It explores themes of love, friendship, and the difficulty of adjusting to life after the war.
    Arch of Triumph (1945): This novel is set in Paris in the late 1930s and follows the story of a German refugee who is trying to survive in a city that is hostile to him. It deals with themes of isolation and the effects of war on individuals and society.

  7. David Foster:

    And of course there’s Paul Fusell’s exploration of the portrayal of WWI in fiction and poetry, The Great War and Modern Memory.

    Also, there’s the prototype for Catch-22, Robert Graves’ Goodbye to All That.

    Those are not by Remarque, of course, but they are what your comment brought to mind.

  8. Paul Graham, a VC and interesting thinker, said about GPT:

    “For me one of the biggest surprises about current generative AI research is that it yields artificial pseudo-intellectuals: programs that, given sufficient examples to copy, can do a plausible imitation of talking about something they understand.”

    Just what we need, more pseudo-intellectuals! PaulG goes on to say:

    “I don’t mean this as an attack on this form of AI. The imitations continue to improve. If they get good enough, we’re splitting hairs talking about whether they “actually” understand what they’re saying. I just didn’t expect this to be the way in.”

  9. Lee:

    I have always been against vaccine mandates, but there is plenty of evidence that COVID vaccines’ benefits outweigh their risks in populations other than young men and children. I have stated time and again why this is so.

  10. Let’s try GPT on an intersection of history and journalism:

    My question: Did the New York Times report on the Holodomor?

    Yes, The New York Times has reported on the Holodomor. The Holodomor was a famine in Ukraine that took place from 1932-1933. It is estimated that millions of people died as a result of the famine, which was caused by the policies of the Soviet government. The New York Times has published several articles about the Holodomor over the years, including reports on the famine itself and its impact on Ukraine, as well as more recent articles about efforts to remember and honor the victims of the Holodomor.

    Not good. I’ll submit a review and see if it gets fixed.

  11. I’m leery of people talking about AI ‘x-ism’ because it’s clear that some of the folks claiming that have decided that it’s so because the AI noticed (and reported) an unwelcome truth or two about the world.

    Or perhaps it might be more accurate to say that they’re disturbed the AI doesn’t share their own biases, and they were hoping the disinterested computer would agree with them when humanity doesn’t.

  12. David Foster:

    Paul Graham is a VC?
    DYM he’s a Viet Cong? Vice Chancellor? Voice Coach? Violent Criminal?

  13. FBIs former lawyer James Baker was the Counsel at Twitter who vetted the first tranche of Tweets released.

    But during the weekend, between Matt Taibbi and Bari Weiss, the gross error of having the Hen House keeper in charge of the Tweet.

    He’s been covering up for the FIB at Twitter.

    Hence, the short purge exposing the Deep State lies and fascism will now take, as Musk indicated Monday, maybe two months — possibly longer.

    And this is why Baker was summarily dismissed this morning.

    Robert Gouviea, Esq is online streaming this breaking news now:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRSOgFnrLcc

    HT to Jonathon Turley.

    WHEN THE HISTORY OF THE SUCCESSFUL COUP ID WRITTEN, next year, this expose will figure quite prominently.

    I remain, like those here, highly doubtful that the motivated tiny minority in Congress can make much noise by investigating these facts further.

  14. I was saying about dos passos whose early work was related in news reel type vignettes, who saw the war as a great waste, in and of itself for the extraordinary cost imposed on the winners, lets not even speak of the losers like Germany

  15. Neo…when I asked GPT3 about WWI in history and literature, with the question in slightly different form than above, I got a response that did mention The Great War and Modern Memory.

    “The First World War had a profound impact on society, both during and after the conflict. In fiction, many books have explored the effects of the war on individuals and communities. For example, “All Quiet on the Western Front” by Erich Maria Remarque tells the story of a group of young German soldiers who are sent to fight in the war and the devastating effects it has on their lives. Other fiction books that explore the social impact of the war include “A Farewell to Arms” by Ernest Hemingway and “Parade’s End” by Ford Madox Ford.

    In nonfiction, there are many books that delve into the broader social impact of the war. For instance, “The Great War and Modern Memory” by Paul Fussell examines how the war affected the way people think and remember the conflict. “The Guns of August” by Barbara Tuchman is a Pulitzer Prize-winning book that looks at the origins of the war and how it quickly escalated. “The First World War” by John Keegan is a comprehensive overview of the conflict, including its causes and consequences.”

  16. the explanation about the jet engine was relayed in the bbc ‘close to the enemy’ which I’ve referenced before, the subtext of the story, is that because the air ministry had been so haphazard, the brits had to resort to a german aviation expert, who had a dark past, in the end he is dispatched by al molinas dyspeptic brit mandarin, and the American win the contest,

  17. oath-keepers-verdict-a-dangerous-escalation-in-criminalizing-dissent

    “… The law the Oath Keepers attempted to stop, Graves claimed, was the “peaceful transfer of power” vested in both the 12th and 20th amendments.

    The indictment was preposterous on its face, something only a grand jury seated in the most Democratic city in the country could countenance. None faced a weapons charge, raising the natural question of how a group of military veterans, most suffering various degrees of service-related disabilities, planned to overtake the government “by force” without a single firearm or explosive device. Despite constant talk in the media about the Oath Keepers’ quick reaction force, individuals who brought weapons with them on the drive to Washington left them behind in a Virginia hotel—legally—so as to not violate the city’s strict gun control laws.

    Some militia….”

    https://amgreatness.com/2022/12/01/oath-keepers-verdict-a-dangerous-escalation-in-criminalizing-dissent/

    I wonder in their wildest dreams they thought this would be the result of their protest?

  18. Re Remarque and David Foster’s query — what else did the author of “All Quiet on The Wester Front” do?

    His special theme is the outsider looking in. This theme was acutely pertinent to the upheavals the the first half of the twentieth century.

    His 1946 novel “Arch of Triumph” is set in Paris. It concerns emigration. The First Hollywood movie in 1948 stars Ingrid Bergman and Charles Boyer.

    The first can be viewed on YT for free. The next version of “Arch of Triumph” in
    in the 1980s starred Anthony Hopkins before his height as a star.

  19. Brian E, the entire “Stop The Steal” moment was to delay precipitous action that was no (and still is not) legitimate.

    The unshakable evil of the corrupt “state” we have is on full display. They stop at nothing to smear Constitutionalists as revolutionary’s.

    Their tragic sacrifice can only be redeemed by those who one day honor them by upholding the Founders who pledged their lives, their fortunes, and their sacred honor and decisively vanquish these Evil tyrants, perpetrators of the successful Coup d’Etate, however decrepit one of them are. Clearly, the oligarchs hide like women, petticoated in their boudoir.

    Our times are out of joint.

  20. To follow up on TJ’s comment at 6:24pm above: Matt Taibbi tweets (thread https://mobile.twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1600243405841666048 ) —

    On Friday, the first installment of the Twitter files was published here. We expected to publish more over the weekend. Many wondered why there was a delay. We can now tell you part of the reason why.

    On Tuesday, Twitter Deputy General Counsel (and former FBI General Counsel) Jim Baker was fired. Among the reasons? Vetting the first batch of “Twitter Files” – without knowledge of new management. The process for producing the “Twitter Files” involved delivery to two journalists (Bari Weiss and me) via a lawyer close to new management. However, after the initial batch, things became complicated.

    Over the weekend, while we both dealt with obstacles to new searches, it was @BariWeiss who discovered that the person in charge of releasing the files was someone named Jim. When she called to ask “Jim’s” last name, the answer came back: “Jim Baker.” “My jaw hit the floor,” says Weiss. The first batch of files both reporters received was marked, “Spectra Baker Emails.”

    Baker is a controversial figure. He has been something of a Zelig of FBI controversies dating back to 2016, from the Steele Dossier to the Alfa-Server mess. He resigned in 2018 after an investigation into leaks to the press. The news that Baker was reviewing the “Twitter files” surprised everyone involved, to say the least. New Twitter chief Elon Musk acted quickly to “exit” Baker Tuesday.

    The news that Baker was reviewing the “Twitter files” surprised everyone involved, to say the least. New Twitter chief Elon Musk acted quickly to “exit” Baker Tuesday. Reporters resumed searches through Twitter Files material – a lot of it – today. The next installment of “The Twitter Files” will appear @bariweiss.

    Stay tuned.

  21. This just in, the RNC’s charwoman — sorry, “chair”woman — just came down in favor of mail-in voting. She claims that the GOP has had success with it in states where it is legal.

    Because, you know, abusing the franchise process just as much as the DNC does is EXACTLY the way to go. :-/

    I know one more person in the GOPe who needs to be fired, now.

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