Home » Open thread 11/12/22

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Open thread 11/12/22 — 34 Comments

  1. I can’t believe after almost 3 years, I’m going to once again make a Covid post. With the almost certain prospect now of the Ds retaining control of both houses, the government will again be using Covid as one of their tools of control.

    While all the states I follow have reached endemic levels where if no testing was being done one would not even notice Covid exists outside of it being just another virus infection. Georgia is doing quite well with about 200 cases/day and deaths just averaging 1/day. Compare to blue CT where cases are about 500/day and deaths around 4/day with 1/3 the population of GA.

    My real concern is that the national data in terms of daily new active cases has been trending upward from negative values to now close to zero. As a result, the total active cases has leveled out to about the same value as 7 months ago. To be expected with an endemic virus. If the new active cases continue into positive values, then we will see a rise in active cases; ie a “new wave!!!” Serious cases are flat at about 2500/day compared to the peak of close to 30,000.

    As far as I am concerned the Covid crisis is long past, but any such upward trends will be heralded as a chance for the feds, blue states, and the CDC to ramp up their fear mongering again. My prediction is to watch for such headlines to start appearing in the next few weeks.

  2. Is there some way to get the names of the guys in the exercise video? Their advice on what to do might be useful, since their advice on what NOT to do looks reasonable.

  3. I caught a nasty head cold a couple of weeks ago, and now I am probably working on a secondary infection, very common for me. Nothing serious at all. I have no idea if it’s Covid, and I am not going to get tested. If we are going to go crazy over every cold and flu virus we will never be normal again.

  4. I like full-chain functional activities. –guy in video

    That’s what the kettlebell is all about! The kettlebell has been magic for me.

    I’ve still got a bit of a fat pad at my waist, but I can see my pecs moving and those vertical ab lines parallel to the navel emerging. I’ve got a better build at 70 than I did at 20.

    Below is my workout routine, though I’m a long way from 24 kg (53#) on the Turkish Get-Up (laying on your back with a weight in one hand then standing up via a bridge and a leg sweep).

    –“One Complete Simple and Sinister 24kg”
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGb6DG6IWZE

    Pavel Tsatsouline is the Russian trainer who started the kettlebell wave in the US. “Simple and Sinister” refers to his book on kettlebell training:

    https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0989892433/ref=as_li_tl

  5. Seriously, folks, take a look at the kettlebell, particularly the swings and the get-up.

    The lighter kettlebells are inexpensive. Exercising with them takes little space and surprisingly little time. Form is important, but there are a ton of videos and articles available on the web, as well as instructors nearby.

    In our age group I recommend starting with 15# for women and 25# for men. (Pavel’s book is somewhat ambitious for seniors.)

    Kettlebell exercise can also be adapted to work around injuries. I have issues with both shoulders, but was able to strengthen gradually and overcome them.

  6. huxley, my trainer tried to show me how to do kettlebell swings, several times, checking my form. I consistently feel pain in my left knee during and after the exercise and I have stopped doing them.

  7. If you are running on the roads and you aren’t watching the cars or bicycles, well The Darwin Awards has a spot for you, and a wooden cross in the shoulder.

  8. Kate, I have a good friend in NC and is definitely center left. He got the respiratory virus that’s going around about a week and half ago, and had himself tested for Covid almost every day. Kept coming back negative of course. I asked him what he would do different if it was? The answer was nothing…stay home, rest, fluids, but he wanted to make sure it wasn’t COVID!!. Sigh…. Unfortunately some of his more left friends kept saying that the tests no longer find the “new variants”, so it could be COVID!!. BTW, he’s fine now after about a week and half.

    These people are nuckin futs. We need a divorce from 50% of the country.

  9. They’re crazy. I am now on day 14, chest congestion increasing, probably going to Urgent Care tomorrow to beg for a course of prednisone. I’ve had no fever at any time. If, like me, your friend wouldn’t change his treatment, what’s the point of doing a test? This is just foolishness.

  10. I consistently feel pain in my left knee during and after the exercise and I have stopped doing them.

    Kate:

    Sorry to hear that. I felt some knee pain at first (I have no cartilage and no ACL in my left knee), but it worked out over time.

    Hope your current infection clears up and you find some exercise that works for you.

  11. Kate,

    My daughter in Orlando had the same thing and it followed the same course you’re following. She got pred and also antibiotics for possible bronchitis and is doing much better. Lasted 2 weeks.

  12. WOW — I’m gonna break a consistent health news thread and return to an inrestung election item that answers old questions and raises new ones.

    R turnout was exceptional — but this affected the outcome in fewer races than expected. Since the following numbers sound meaningful, then how were the Ds so much more effective in winning than expected?

    From Just The News citing the Cook Report:

    “Specifically, GOP candidates have so far received 50,672,592 votes, or 52.3% of the total ballots cast as of this writing. Democrat candidates, by comparison, have so far received 44,802,597 votes, or 46.2% of the total.

    “These figures come from Cook’s 2022 National House Vote Tracker, which is being updated as states continue counting ballots.

    “This support for the GOP appears to fit with what pre-election polling data had suggested heading into Election Day. Several Republican candidates nationwide, including those running for the Senate and governors’ mansions, had been rising in the polls in the last couple months, indicating positive momentum for Republicans….

    “ And in 2018, somewhat of a blue wave election, Democrats gained 40 seats in the House while Republicans gained two in the Senate. As for the House popular vote, Republicans received 50,467,181 votes, or 44.3% of the total ballots cast. Democrats received 60,319,623 votes, or 52.9% of the total ballots.

    “All data on past elections came from official vote counts collected and published by the House clerk.”
    https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/red-wave-after-all-gop-winning-popular-vote-wide-margin-despite

  13. “We need a divorce from 50% of the country”

    For a variety of reasons. One of the reasons why Governor DeSantis is needed in Florida.
    There is a core of conservative states along our southern border (once Lake is elected), with the exception of NM, working upward to most of the Midwest. Create a federation of states.
    That would leave the NE and West Coast to make whatever accommodation they want (remember the west coast states had made a pact to ignore any Trump administration pronouncements concerning COVID re-openings in 2020.)

  14. Neo … I’m going back to a previous Open Thread, where you featured The Wilder Blue… I shared that with my daughters and they’re all hooked now. Middle one has a wide musical memory and tastes and asked me to have a “listen and compare” session.
    Long story short… thanks. Great band. Fun to share with the kids. Keep up your great work.
    Pax vobiscum.

  15. The EVILS we confront are front and center with the vote counting of the House.

    The Gateway Pundit sums the state of play in closing the closest:

    * 1 GOP win in Texas

    ** 19 Dem wins
    ** Five still counting including 4 California seats

    INCREDIBLE, is it not?

    “Occam’s Theory would suggest – they picked the right races to cheat in – just the toss-ups. The rest of the races– why bother?

    It was a blowout by total vote [for Republicans] – but yet somehow in the races that mattered, the Republicans lost every race except one.”

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/11/democrat-miracle-gop-wins-midterm-elections-massive-blow-loses-every-single-toss-seat-except-one-check-comparison-2010-results/

  16. TJ,

    California has counted about 1/2 of its ballots, so the Republican edge is sure to shrink signifantly over the next week.

  17. TJ, what happens if one takes the GOP votes from Florida, Texas, SC etc out of the total nationwide? I would suspect it becomes much closer then.

    No doubt there’s a lot of cheating going on, especially in NV and AZ. And as others have mentioned, the Ds have cleverly figured out that ballots count more than election day votes if they can get all sorts of people who would never actually make it to the polls to cast ballots by mail etc. Use the updated FL election system and that would close that problem. Of course they would just find other ways.

  18. As for the video- I have been weight training and exercising pretty continuously regularly since I was 16 years old (one 2.5 year break in college/grad school only)- so forty years now. All of the advice in that video is good advice for what to avoid. I learned almost every bit of that advice through trial and error, and I have done and stopped doing every single one of those exercises through finding they injure my joints except for the quad extension, but I don’t use big weights on that exercise for exactly that reason- it puts a lot of stress on the knee for a motion you don’t ever use in life. When you are young (under 30) you can get away with doing all of them, but after 30, you find yourself constantly injuring yourself. Your joints are happiest if you don’t put them through unnatural motions under weight.

  19. “We need a divorce from 50% of the country”
    I don’t want a divorce. All the Pacific SSBNs are based in Washington. Do you want Washington to become a major nuke power?

    We’ll try to stay serene and calm
    When Alabama gets the bomb!
    Tom Lehrer “Who’s Next?”

  20. No surprise: “WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The United States will keep in place the public health emergency status of the COVID-19 pandemic, allowing millions of Americans to still receive free tests, vaccines and treatments, two Biden administration officials said on Friday.

    The possibility of a winter surge in COVID cases and the need for more time to transition out of the public health emergency to a private market were two factors that contributed to the decision not to end the emergency status in January, one of the officials said. . . . Health experts believe a surge in COVID-19 infections in the United States is likely this winter, one official said. ‘We may be in the middle of one in January,’ he said. ‘That is not the moment you want to pull down the public health emergency.’

    Daily U.S. cases are down to an average of nearly 41,300 as of Nov. 9, but an average of 335 people a day are still dying from COVID, according to the latest U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data.”

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/other/us-covid-public-health-emergency-to-stay-in-place/ar-AA140Kff

    Gee, it looks as if Emily Oster and her pals won’t need a COVID “amnesty” after all– they can go right back to their hectoring, scolding, and virtue-signaling.

  21. huxley, and others, thanks for your concerns. I exercise with weights and resistance bands regularly, under the supervision of a monthly visit with a physical trainer who is experienced with older clients. I can’t do those kettlebell swings, but I have alternatives.

  22. I’ve read three news reports saying the “election desk” has called the Arizona Senate race for Kelly. Not one of those stories included the vote tally and the number of votes left to count!

    This is absurd!

  23. Hello. I’ve had a couple of conversations at work lately that suggest there may be a problem somewhere with supplies of lettuce to grocery stores. Has anyone else noticed a lack of lettuce locally? I’ve noticed in the last few weeks that a couple of local grocery stores have been coming up short on romaine and sometimes other green vegetables. But someone today at work, who happens to live in a notably affluent area around here, mentioned that even iceberg lettuce was not to be found recently in two different stores where she shops regularly. That got my attention.

  24. I wish I’d seen this 70 years ago. It would have saved me some injuries.

    Until five years ago, I was still lifting some fairly serious weights. Botched surgeries ended that. My workout now is four to six round trips on the stairs, three sets of unweighted squats, three sets of modified pushups, three sets of crunches and getting up and down off the floor several times. It ain’t much but it’s what I can do now. Don’t laugh until you’re 89.

    Tomorrow I plan to try the kettlebell swings with a five pounder. I think that’s a good one to add to my workout. We’ll see.

  25. Since it’s an open thread: Ukraine war

    How lies destroy armies – Lies, coverups, and Russian failures in Ukraine – Perun

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fz59GWeTIik

    How lies destroy republics? Counting votes post Covid takes 6 days or more when Democrats need a result? Because? Prove it!

    What an inspiration JJ! Hang in there.

  26. Go for it, JJ! Congrats.

    My uncle made it to 88 and my grandmother to 94. I’m giving it a shot.

  27. Huxley, keep it up. No guarantees, but exercise and moving seem to slow the decline. My wife and I have had the goal of staying out of a nursing home and have succeeded thus far.

    OM, those links to Perun are valuable. This one is especially so in describing how the corruption in Russia’s military works. It leads to low morale, low readiness, and as we are observing, failure on the battlefield.

    Unfortunately, we are beginning to see that creep into our military with the new emphasis on DEI. Less time devoted to readiness and possible lying about it.

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